# What makes a good forecast #permanentnote ## Source - [[book - Superforecasting - the art and science of prediction]] ## Keywords (topics and howto) - [[topic - forecasting]] - [[how to be a better forecaster]] ## Relevant notes - [[zt - everyone craves understanding]] and forecasting is a way to feel more in control. ## Notes - A forecast without a timeframe is **absurd** - A forecast without clear, unambiguous values is useless - It is important to have many forecasts The weather forecast we listen to religiously has all of it. It is about today's weather (or tomorrow). It is about a very clear set of parameters: cloud, temperature, rain. And it is updated very frequently.